Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Seguin wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 55.4% vs Rask 50.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 61.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.0%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Seguin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Seguin
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Seguin
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
0
Seguin
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (712)
50.6% (172)
+5.9%
Power Play
59.7% (67)
50.0% (4)
+9.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Seguin shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Seguin
Rask
Home
58.5% (402)
53.7% (82)
Away
53.8% (426)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Seguin
Rask
P1
58.4%
56.0%
P2
54.7%
47.5%
P3
54.1%
49.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |