Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Seguin wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 53.6% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 62.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.4%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Seguin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
30
(48 meetings)
18
30
Seguin
Smith
Last 10: Seguin 6-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
11
6
Seguin
Smith
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
14
Seguin
Smith
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
4
10
Seguin
Smith
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,071)
51.6% (5,265)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.9% (810)
51.2% (342)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (762)
45.3% (985)
+4.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Seguin shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Seguin
Smith
Home
55.9% (4,759)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
51.4% (4,885)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Seguin
Smith
P1
52.8%
49.9%
P2
53.3%
50.0%
P3
54.7%
51.9%
OT
54.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
54.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2019 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:26 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 05:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |