Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toffoli 50.7% vs Simmonds 50.0% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 56.9%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 53.1%
Neutral zone
Simmonds 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Toffoli
Simmonds
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toffoli
Simmonds
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (24)
40.0% (5)
+22.5%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
On power play, Simmonds has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Simmonds shoots right. Toffoli is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Toffoli shoots right. Simmonds is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Toffoli
Simmonds
Home
52.9% (17)
33.3% (3)
Away
52.9% (17)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Toffoli
Simmonds
P1
58.3%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%
Simmonds
50.0%▲
45.0%
50.0%