Scouting Report
Tyson Jost holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 40.1% vs Jost 40.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 54.0%
Defensive zone
Jost 57.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 53.4%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Brown
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Brown
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
0
Brown
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (313)
41.0% (2,014)
-2.3%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
34.2% (73)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (217)
35.3% (255)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Brown is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Brown shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Brown
Jost
Home
41.5% (246)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
35.6% (303)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Brown
Jost
P1
35.3%
38.5%
P2
40.6%
41.2%
P3
38.6%
40.9%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
37.6%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Jan 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 16:28 | Neutral | Connor Brown |