Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Suzuki wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 47.5% vs Jost 40.8% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 93.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 72.8%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 84.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Suzuki
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suzuki
Jost
Last 5: Suzuki 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Jost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Suzuki
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (1,066)
41.8% (388)
+5.2%
Power Play
49.5% (204)
0.0% (3)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
21.7% (60)
+24.9%
On power play, Suzuki has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Suzuki shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Jost
Home
49.4% (686)
42.6% (230)
Away
45.3% (715)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Suzuki
Jost
P1
45.6%
43.2%
P2
46.9%
38.2%
P3
49.8%
34.6%
OT
38.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:58 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |