Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jost 47.3% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 53.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 68.9%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 50.4%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Jost
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jost
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Jost 3-2 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Jost
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jost
3
0
Jost
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jost
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (116)
48.3% (271)
-2.6%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
25.0% (4)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Jost is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Jost shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Jost
Ostapchuk
Home
39.7% (68)
49.3% (140)
Away
51.7% (58)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Jost
Ostapchuk
P1
40.5%
49.1%
P2
47.9%
48.9%
P3
47.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2024 | 3 | 19:13 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Dec 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |