Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Kozak 49.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kozak 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.6%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Finley
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Finley
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Finley
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
49.3% (294)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
50.0% (40)
+7.7%
On power play, Kozak has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Finley shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Finley
Kozak
Home
50.0% (162)
45.5% (145)
Away
46.2% (117)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Finley
Kozak
P1
53.2%
53.4%
P2
44.6%
50.0%
P3
49.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |