Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.6%). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Kozak 49.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kozak 67.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.8%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kasper
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kasper
Kozak
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Kasper
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
49.3% (294)
+1.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
60.0% (5)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
50.0% (40)
-18.4%
On power play, Kozak has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kozak
Home
51.1% (184)
45.5% (145)
Away
48.5% (194)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Kasper
Kozak
P1
53.8%
53.4%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
42.6%
44.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |