Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Kozak 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kozak 80.2%
Neutral zone
Kozak 63.0%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 64.2%
35.8%
64.2%
Jankowski
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Jankowski
Kozak
Last 7: Jankowski 2-5 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
4
Jankowski
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
49.3% (294)
+4.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
60.0% (5)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
50.0% (40)
+7.9%
On power play, Kozak has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Jankowski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Jankowski shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Kozak
Home
53.9% (310)
45.5% (145)
Away
53.7% (255)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Jankowski
Kozak
P1
54.4%
53.4%
P2
55.7%
50.0%
P3
51.5%
44.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 09:32 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |