Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gagner wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Fiddler shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.1% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 93.9%
Defensive zone
Gagner 62.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 76.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Gagner
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Gagner
Fiddler
Last 9: Gagner 0-9 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
3
Gagner
Fiddler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
4
Gagner
Fiddler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Gagner
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (815)
55.4% (737)
-9.5%
Power Play
55.3% (132)
56.7% (30)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
40.9% (215)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Fiddler has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Gagner shoots right. Fiddler is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Gagner
Fiddler
Home
48.7% (542)
54.0% (489)
Away
44.4% (421)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Gagner
Fiddler
P1
45.1%
52.9%
P2
46.6%
51.6%
P3
49.7%
52.6%
OT
25.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2014 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 01:14 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 13, 2013 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |