Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 49.3% vs Rask 51.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 61.3%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.8%
Neutral zone
Barkov 61.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Barkov
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barkov
Rask
Last 7: Barkov 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Barkov
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Barkov
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (895)
51.7% (862)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.6% (141)
45.3% (64)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (120)
44.4% (9)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barkov is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Barkov shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Barkov
Rask
Home
48.0% (544)
53.6% (466)
Away
50.3% (612)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Barkov
Rask
P1
44.6%
52.4%
P2
51.4%
50.5%
P3
50.9%
50.8%
OT
69.2%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 11:57 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 18, 2015 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Victor Rask |