Scouting Report
Andrew Shaw holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 53.7% vs Rask 49.8% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 74.7%
Defensive zone
Shaw 63.7%
Neutral zone
Shaw 53.7%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Shaw
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Shaw
Rask
Last 7: Shaw 5-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (336)
48.7% (809)
+7.6%
Power Play
51.0% (96)
60.0% (90)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
47.4% (19)
-30.7%
On penalty kill, Rask has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Shaw is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shaw shoots right. Rask is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Shaw
Rask
Home
58.1% (234)
51.4% (420)
Away
50.5% (204)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Shaw
Rask
P1
53.8%
49.1%
P2
58.3%
50.2%
P3
52.0%
50.3%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
54.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 24, 2016 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 17:19 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |