Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jenner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 52.3% vs Rask 51.1% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 58.4%
Defensive zone
Jenner 51.5%
Neutral zone
Rask 60.0%
Result
Boone Jenner favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Jenner
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Jenner
Rask
Last 7: Jenner 5-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
0
Jenner
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (234)
51.7% (862)
+2.1%
Power Play
49.1% (53)
45.3% (64)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.4% (9)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Jenner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (174).
Jenner shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Jenner
Rask
Home
55.1% (127)
53.6% (466)
Away
51.5% (167)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Jenner
Rask
P1
46.2%
52.4%
P2
51.0%
50.5%
P3
61.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 24, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |