Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Rask 49.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 88.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 54.4%
Neutral zone
Rask 78.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 76.9%
23.1%
76.9%
Nelson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Nelson
Rask
Last 10: Nelson 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
1
Nelson
Rask
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
0
Nelson
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Nelson
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
48.7% (809)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
60.0% (90)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
47.4% (19)
-3.1%
On even strength, Rask has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Rask is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Nelson
Rask
Home
41.9% (391)
51.4% (420)
Away
45.5% (400)
48.4% (498)
By Period
Nelson
Rask
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
43.0%
50.2%
P3
40.9%
50.3%
OT
63.6%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 4, 2017 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |