Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Grant on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 50.9% vs Rask 46.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Grant leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 73.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 83.8%
Neutral zone
Grant 55.8%
Result
Derek Grant favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Grant
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Grant
Rask
Last 10: Grant 7-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Grant
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
4
1
Grant
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
1
Grant
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (415)
45.5% (442)
+9.0%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
44.7% (38)
-1.8%
On even strength, Grant has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Grant is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Grant shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Grant
Rask
Home
51.5% (266)
45.6% (228)
Away
50.7% (300)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Grant
Rask
P1
48.3%
45.1%
P2
52.2%
45.5%
P3
52.8%
45.8%
Final 5 min
60.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
51.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Victor Rask |