Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.8% vs Rask 46.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Larsson leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 74.1%
Defensive zone
Larsson 78.7%
Neutral zone
Larsson 53.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Larsson
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Larsson
Rask
Last 10: Larsson 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
5
Larsson
Rask
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
1
Larsson
Rask
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
5
4
Larsson
Rask
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (504)
45.5% (442)
+4.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
44.7% (38)
-11.4%
On power play, Rask has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Larsson is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Larsson shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Larsson
Rask
Home
48.2% (272)
45.6% (228)
Away
49.0% (337)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Larsson
Rask
P1
48.6%
45.1%
P2
56.1%
45.5%
P3
41.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
48.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 09:01 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 07:57 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |