Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.1%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stamkos 51.0% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.8%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 62.8%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 52.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Stamkos
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
8
(26 meetings)
18
8
Stamkos
Rask
Last 10: Stamkos 6-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
1
Stamkos
Rask
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
8
4
Stamkos
Rask
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
3
Stamkos
Rask
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stamkos
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (9,799)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.4%
Power Play
55.1% (1,725)
54.3% (363)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (825)
35.2% (54)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Stamkos shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Stamkos
Rask
Home
52.7% (6,248)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
49.3% (6,127)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Stamkos
Rask
P1
49.1%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
48.9%
P3
50.9%
50.7%
OT
54.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:50 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:27 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 08:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 1 | 11:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |