Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Oshie 51.9% vs Rask 51.1% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 64.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 52.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 51.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Oshie
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Oshie
Rask
Last 5: Oshie 2-3 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Oshie
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Oshie
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
0
Oshie
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Oshie
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (35)
51.7% (862)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (170)
45.3% (64)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
44.4% (9)
+6.5%
On power play, Oshie has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Oshie shoots right. Rask is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Oshie
Rask
Home
59.4% (138)
53.6% (466)
Away
45.2% (124)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Oshie
Rask
P1
53.4%
52.4%
P2
48.9%
50.5%
P3
55.1%
50.8%
OT
66.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2015 | 2 | 11:13 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 1 | 15:31 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |