Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Seguin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seguin 53.6% vs Rask 47.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 82.1%
Neutral zone
Seguin 67.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Seguin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Seguin
Rask
Last 6: Seguin 5-1 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Seguin
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
0
Seguin
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seguin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (996)
46.6% (397)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
58.1% (31)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (165)
50.0% (2)
+2.1%
On even strength, Seguin has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Seguin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Seguin shoots right. Rask is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Seguin
Rask
Home
55.9% (633)
50.0% (202)
Away
51.8% (622)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Seguin
Rask
P1
55.8%
51.1%
P2
51.7%
43.2%
P3
54.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.9%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 14, 2019 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 18:51 | Offensive | Victor Rask |