Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rask 50.1% vs Gourde 48.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 86.7%
Defensive zone
Rask 51.9%
Neutral zone
Rask 70.7%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Rask
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Rask
Gourde
Last 6: Rask 5-1 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
2
1
Rask
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
0
Rask
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
2
0
Rask
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rask
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (4,428)
48.4% (4,954)
+1.6%
Power Play
54.3% (363)
57.4% (376)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
39.9% (554)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Rask shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Rask
Gourde
Home
52.0% (2,380)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.3% (2,465)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Rask
Gourde
P1
50.7%
49.9%
P2
48.9%
47.4%
P3
50.7%
47.5%
OT
52.1%
37.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2018 | 3 | 07:57 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:17 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Victor Rask |