Josh Bailey vs Vincent Lecavalier
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bailey on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bailey wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 44.6% vs Lecavalier 48.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Bailey leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 51.7%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 70.5%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Bailey
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Bailey
Lecavalier
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
3
Bailey
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
5
0
Bailey
Lecavalier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
2
Bailey
Lecavalier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (579)
47.7% (897)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
51.1% (227)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (108)
34.8% (23)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Bailey is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Bailey shoots left. Lecavalier is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Bailey
Lecavalier
Home
45.9% (375)
51.5% (538)
Away
41.8% (361)
44.7% (624)
By Period
Bailey
Lecavalier
P1
47.3%
48.3%
P2
40.4%
50.4%
P3
43.3%
44.3%
OT
63.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.9%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 12:05 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 03:31 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:29 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:39 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 10:33 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 04:42 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |