Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Read on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Read wins 37.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Read 43.0% vs Lecavalier 48.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lecavalier 89.8%
Defensive zone
Lecavalier 67.8%
Neutral zone
Lecavalier 79.2%
Result
Vincent Lecavalier favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Read
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Read
Lecavalier
Last 5: Read 4-1 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Read
1
0
Read
Lecavalier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Read
3
1
Read
Lecavalier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Read
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (244)
47.7% (897)
-4.7%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
51.1% (227)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (66)
34.8% (23)
+0.0%
On power play, Lecavalier has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Read is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (219).
Read shoots right. Lecavalier is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Read
Lecavalier
Home
43.4% (166)
51.5% (538)
Away
38.9% (180)
44.7% (624)
By Period
Read
Lecavalier
P1
41.2%
48.3%
P2
43.1%
50.4%
P3
38.1%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
34.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Read
44.0%▲
39.5%
41.0%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Matt Read |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Matt Read |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 3 | 06:36 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 9, 2011 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Matt Read |