Tim Connolly vs Vincent Lecavalier
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Connolly wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 46.3% vs Lecavalier 50.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 78.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 75.8%
Neutral zone
Connolly 75.5%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Connolly
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Connolly
Lecavalier
Last 10: Connolly 4-6 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Connolly
Lecavalier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
0
2
Connolly
Lecavalier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
7
Connolly
Lecavalier
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (702)
50.1% (845)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.7% (165)
52.5% (280)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
29.9% (97)
56.0% (25)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Connolly shoots right. Lecavalier is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Connolly
Lecavalier
Home
46.7% (512)
52.9% (677)
Away
45.1% (457)
48.1% (484)
By Period
Connolly
Lecavalier
P1
46.5%
53.4%
P2
47.5%
50.7%
P3
44.0%
48.8%
OT
40.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:15 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:46 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |