Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.7%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.2%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Kopitar
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Trocheck
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
57.7% (608)
-2.9%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
64.0% (150)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
44.1% (136)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Kopitar is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Kopitar shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Trocheck
Home
56.8% (533)
54.4% (366)
Away
55.5% (512)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Kopitar
Trocheck
P1
55.7%
56.0%
P2
57.0%
58.6%
P3
56.0%
55.3%
OT
52.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |