Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.1% vs Trocheck 50.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 77.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.8%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 71.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Bonino
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Trocheck
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (917)
50.3% (1,280)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.2% (94)
52.7% (201)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (202)
46.4% (183)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Bonino is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Bonino shoots left. Trocheck is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,044).
Home / Away
Bonino
Trocheck
Home
51.0% (629)
52.4% (828)
Away
44.7% (584)
48.0% (836)
By Period
Bonino
Trocheck
P1
49.0%
52.6%
P2
45.4%
50.9%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
23.1%
34.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |