Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lafferty wins 37.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lafferty 43.9% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 83.4%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 88.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
Lafferty
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Lafferty
Trocheck
Last 9: Lafferty 1-8 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Lafferty
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
4
Lafferty
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
2
Lafferty
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lafferty
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (324)
57.6% (1,061)
-15.0%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
65.1% (338)
-33.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
49.5% (101)
-5.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Lafferty is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Lafferty shoots right. Trocheck is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (382).
Home / Away
Lafferty
Trocheck
Home
40.9% (181)
61.8% (735)
Away
43.4% (175)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Lafferty
Trocheck
P1
42.2%
57.7%
P2
36.4%
57.9%
P3
48.6%
60.4%
Final 5 min
37.2%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lafferty
48.0%▼
50.0%
42.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:37 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |