Vincent Trocheck vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Trocheck wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 56.0% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 95.9%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 87.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 90.8%
90.8%
9.2%
Trocheck
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
Last 5: Trocheck 5-0 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (626)
43.2% (146)
+14.6%
Power Play
63.6% (151)
50.0% (2)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (141)
44.8% (29)
-0.8%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Trocheck shoots right. Girgensons is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Girgensons
Home
54.4% (390)
40.3% (72)
Away
58.3% (528)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Trocheck
Girgensons
P1
56.4%
43.8%
P2
58.7%
44.6%
P3
54.8%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |