Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladimir Sobotka
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Sobotka 53.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 70.9%
Defensive zone
Sobotka 79.5%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 85.0%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Last 6: MacKinnon 4-2 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Sobotka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
MacKinnon
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
56.0% (300)
-15.3%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
52.0% (25)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
37.0% (27)
-0.6%
On even strength, Sobotka has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Sobotka is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Sobotka
Home
42.1% (617)
60.3% (156)
Away
41.7% (540)
49.5% (196)
By Period
MacKinnon
Sobotka
P1
43.4%
56.5%
P2
40.9%
55.6%
P3
40.8%
49.5%
OT
55.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |