Scouting Report
Vladimir Sobotka holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 50.4% vs Sobotka 60.6% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Sobotka leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 82.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 74.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 83.8%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Koivu
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Koivu
Sobotka
Last 10: Koivu 3-7 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Koivu
Sobotka
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
2
5
Koivu
Sobotka
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Koivu
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (912)
62.0% (637)
-11.6%
Power Play
59.1% (44)
62.6% (91)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (111)
60.0% (85)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Sobotka has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Koivu shoots left. Sobotka is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Koivu
Sobotka
Home
51.5% (610)
65.8% (371)
Away
49.0% (457)
58.6% (442)
By Period
Koivu
Sobotka
P1
48.5%
63.0%
P2
51.5%
61.4%
P3
51.1%
60.7%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |