Scouting Report
Matt Calvert holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Calvert wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Calvert 42.9% vs Smith 39.7% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
Smith 57.6%
Defensive zone
Calvert 60.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.8%
Result
Will Smith favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Calvert
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Calvert
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (178)
33.0% (191)
+2.4%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
48.1% (27)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
50.0% (2)
+2.4%
On power play, Calvert has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Calvert is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Calvert shoots left. Smith is 36.2% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Calvert
Smith
Home
41.1% (112)
33.6% (128)
Away
38.5% (117)
37.0% (92)
By Period
Calvert
Smith
P1
33.3%
37.1%
P2
44.3%
32.9%
P3
40.7%
33.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Calvert
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.7%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
35.0%