Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danault wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danault 52.1% vs Smith 41.4% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 71.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 96.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 86.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Danault
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Danault
Smith
Last 5: Danault 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
1
Danault
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
0
Danault
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danault
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (958)
33.3% (153)
+19.1%
Power Play
62.0% (71)
56.5% (23)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (187)
50.0% (2)
-2.4%
On even strength, Danault has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Danault is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Danault shoots left. Smith is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Danault
Smith
Home
51.2% (605)
35.1% (111)
Away
53.2% (611)
38.8% (67)
By Period
Danault
Smith
P1
53.1%
41.5%
P2
49.8%
32.8%
P3
54.3%
33.3%
OT
20.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Smith
36.0%▬
36.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Will Smith |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |