Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +22.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eklund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Eklund 37.0% (+22.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 74.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 97.1%
Neutral zone
Carrick 90.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 92.5%
92.5%
7.5%
Carrick
Eklund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carrick
Eklund
Last 5: Carrick 4-1 Eklund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eklund
0
1
Carrick
Eklund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
0
Carrick
Eklund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Eklund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
30.8% (208)
+23.1%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
47.1% (17)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
0.0% (5)
+51.5%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eklund shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Eklund is 34.5% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Carrick
Eklund
Home
52.7% (408)
31.2% (125)
Away
54.1% (377)
31.4% (105)
By Period
Carrick
Eklund
P1
51.4%
29.5%
P2
56.6%
27.2%
P3
52.1%
37.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
27.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Eklund
28.0%▬
29.0%
31.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | William Eklund |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |