Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 79.7%
Defensive zone
Newhook 83.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 83.3%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Newhook
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Newhook
Karlsson
Last 5: Newhook 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Newhook
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Newhook
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
55.3% (897)
-13.5%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
61.1% (113)
-25.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Newhook
Karlsson
Home
42.4% (236)
58.6% (560)
Away
40.4% (267)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Newhook
Karlsson
P1
42.9%
55.8%
P2
38.5%
55.6%
P3
43.2%
55.7%
Final 5 min
36.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 18:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 27, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | William Karlsson |