Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.0%). Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.1% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 68.3%
Defensive zone
Wagner 62.5%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Wagner
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Wagner
Karlsson
Last 8: Wagner 3-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Wagner
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Wagner
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (332)
48.9% (662)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
46.7% (107)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (129)
41.2% (68)
+0.7%
On power play, Wagner has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Wagner is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (334).
Wagner shoots right. Karlsson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Wagner
Karlsson
Home
49.8% (233)
46.1% (401)
Away
48.1% (237)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Wagner
Karlsson
P1
45.9%
46.6%
P2
47.8%
49.5%
P3
52.7%
48.4%
OT
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2017 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2017 | OT | 04:30 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |