Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Staal wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Karlsson 46.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 91.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Staal
Karlsson
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
0
Staal
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Staal
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
46.5% (744)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
16.7% (18)
+40.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
45.0% (149)
-3.3%
On power play, Staal has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
56.0% (414)
44.0% (425)
Away
50.0% (428)
47.1% (486)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
49.0%
49.7%
P2
56.3%
41.4%
P3
53.9%
46.7%
OT
33.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
58.6%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:31 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Eric Staal |