Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Karlsson 48.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 54.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 52.4%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Karlsson
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Staal
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
48.9% (662)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
46.7% (107)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
41.2% (68)
+7.1%
On power play, Staal has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
53.5% (561)
46.1% (401)
Away
48.9% (554)
49.8% (436)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
50.1%
46.6%
P2
50.3%
49.5%
P3
53.1%
48.4%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 03:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | William Karlsson |