Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 93.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 82.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 83.4%
16.6%
83.4%
Compher
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Compher
Karlsson
Last 9: Compher 6-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
2
Compher
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Compher
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
56.3% (739)
-10.8%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
58.6% (181)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
47.2% (53)
-5.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Compher
Karlsson
Home
44.0% (484)
56.5% (462)
Away
45.4% (555)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Compher
Karlsson
P1
46.2%
57.1%
P2
44.8%
55.2%
P3
44.2%
56.7%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 11:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |