Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 84.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 71.3%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 57.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Beagle
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beagle
Karlsson
Last 9: Beagle 3-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
5
Beagle
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Beagle
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
47.4% (1,012)
+10.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.6% (136)
-17.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
53.5% (86)
-1.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Beagle is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (523).
Beagle shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Beagle
Karlsson
Home
58.2% (378)
47.7% (658)
Away
54.2% (380)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Beagle
Karlsson
P1
58.8%
46.6%
P2
51.9%
47.2%
P3
58.1%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:10 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 3, 2019 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | William Karlsson |