Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dach 90.0%
Neutral zone
Dach 88.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Dach
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dach
Karlsson
Last 5: Dach 0-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Dach
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Dach
Karlsson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
51.4% (735)
-18.9%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
63.5% (115)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
42.9% (133)
-5.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Dach
Karlsson
Home
33.5% (278)
52.3% (524)
Away
32.2% (267)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Dach
Karlsson
P1
35.3%
50.7%
P2
30.6%
51.4%
P3
33.7%
53.2%
OT
0.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
38.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
32.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |