Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kunin wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 47.6% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kunin 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kunin 63.2%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kunin
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kunin
Karlsson
Last 6: Kunin 2-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
2
Kunin
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kunin
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (276)
58.6% (597)
-12.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
57.9% (57)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (92)
51.9% (52)
-4.1%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kunin is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Kunin shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Kunin
Karlsson
Home
45.9% (194)
59.6% (344)
Away
48.0% (204)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kunin
Karlsson
P1
43.2%
53.1%
P2
46.3%
62.1%
P3
52.1%
60.1%
Final 5 min
40.4%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
47.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:57 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |