Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.5% vs Karlsson 53.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 53.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 78.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 59.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Bonino
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Bonino
Karlsson
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
7
13
Bonino
Karlsson
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
7
Bonino
Karlsson
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (395)
55.5% (659)
-0.6%
Power Play
60.9% (110)
59.3% (172)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (186)
39.1% (128)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Bonino shoots left. Karlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (671).
Home / Away
Bonino
Karlsson
Home
52.3% (363)
53.9% (488)
Away
53.4% (328)
54.1% (471)
By Period
Bonino
Karlsson
P1
52.0%
50.5%
P2
56.1%
54.8%
P3
51.5%
56.3%
OT
25.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 5, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 09:44 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 05:53 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:32 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | William Karlsson |