Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 48.2% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 95.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 63.9%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 70.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Acciari
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Acciari
Karlsson
Last 6: Acciari 4-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
2
1
Acciari
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Acciari
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (557)
52.9% (719)
-1.7%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
53.5% (101)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (223)
45.2% (126)
-4.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Acciari is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Acciari shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Acciari
Karlsson
Home
49.0% (392)
54.1% (547)
Away
47.0% (402)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Acciari
Karlsson
P1
52.9%
49.5%
P2
44.7%
53.2%
P3
47.0%
52.3%
OT
60.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
48.0%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 13:26 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |