Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Suter wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suter 43.3% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-15.5%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 88.1%
Defensive zone
Suter 83.7%
Neutral zone
Suter 90.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 88.6%
88.6%
11.4%
Suter
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Suter
Karlsson
Last 10: Suter 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
3
Suter
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Suter
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
5
Suter
Karlsson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suter
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (740)
58.6% (597)
-16.2%
Power Play
48.0% (75)
57.9% (57)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (59)
51.9% (52)
-14.6%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Suter is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Suter shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Suter
Karlsson
Home
41.8% (407)
59.6% (344)
Away
43.3% (467)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Suter
Karlsson
P1
44.7%
53.1%
P2
41.5%
62.1%
P3
41.9%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
42.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:15 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |