Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Reinhart wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.5% vs Karlsson 51.7% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 88.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 84.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 84.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Reinhart
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Reinhart
Karlsson
Last 10: Reinhart 2-8 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Reinhart
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
4
Reinhart
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.0% (89)
52.9% (719)
-16.9%
Power Play
38.1% (21)
53.5% (101)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.2% (126)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Reinhart is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Reinhart shoots right. Karlsson is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Karlsson
Home
43.2% (44)
54.1% (547)
Away
30.9% (68)
48.9% (399)
By Period
Reinhart
Karlsson
P1
43.2%
49.5%
P2
37.5%
53.2%
P3
22.2%
52.3%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
38.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
35.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 17:37 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 07:56 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |