Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.1% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 50.3%
Defensive zone
Pinto 85.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 67.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Pinto
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pinto
Karlsson
Last 5: Pinto 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Pinto
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Pinto
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (779)
58.6% (597)
-8.2%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
57.9% (57)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
51.9% (52)
-7.0%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Pinto shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Pinto
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (454)
59.6% (344)
Away
47.7% (432)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Pinto
Karlsson
P1
48.1%
53.1%
P2
52.9%
62.1%
P3
49.3%
60.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | William Karlsson |