William Karlsson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +21.0% FO% edge overall. Karlsson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 54.7% vs Girgensons 42.9% (+21.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 95.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 91.0%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 87.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Karlsson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (135)
36.2% (94)
+22.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
0.0% (1)
+80.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
41.2% (17)
+3.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Karlsson shoots left. Girgensons is 35.7% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Girgensons
Home
63.7% (91)
38.0% (50)
Away
49.3% (67)
35.5% (62)
By Period
Karlsson
Girgensons
P1
54.4%
43.2%
P2
66.7%
34.3%
P3
51.9%
32.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |