William Karlsson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Karlsson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 54.7% vs Girgensons 45.8% (+14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 93.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 75.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 81.6%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 86.0%
86.0%
14.0%
Karlsson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
0
Karlsson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (135)
43.2% (146)
+15.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
44.8% (29)
-0.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Karlsson shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Girgensons
Home
63.7% (91)
40.3% (72)
Away
49.3% (67)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Karlsson
Girgensons
P1
54.4%
43.8%
P2
66.7%
44.6%
P3
51.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
34.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |