Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Johnston 50.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 60.6%
Defensive zone
Johnston 87.2%
Neutral zone
Johnston 77.3%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Drury
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Drury
Johnston
Last 6: Drury 1-5 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
3
Drury
Johnston
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
50.7% (552)
+4.0%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
61.5% (13)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
43.5% (69)
+27.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnston
Home
56.7% (358)
50.3% (342)
Away
53.6% (306)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Drury
Johnston
P1
57.3%
54.4%
P2
57.6%
47.2%
P3
51.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |