Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Reichel on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reichel wins 39.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 42.1% vs Johnston 51.0% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 53.6%
Defensive zone
Reichel 51.3%
Neutral zone
Reichel 52.8%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Reichel
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Reichel
Johnston
Last 5: Reichel 2-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Reichel
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reichel
2
1
Reichel
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (327)
52.6% (696)
-13.5%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
52.3% (88)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.4% (125)
-42.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Reichel is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Reichel shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Reichel
Johnston
Home
43.7% (206)
52.8% (458)
Away
34.7% (150)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Reichel
Johnston
P1
35.5%
48.9%
P2
39.5%
52.3%
P3
46.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
35.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Lukas Reichel |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |