Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 47.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Lundeström leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 79.6%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 52.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Lundeström
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Lundeström
Gourde
Last 10: Lundeström 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
2
Lundeström
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
1
Lundeström
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (554)
49.1% (847)
-1.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
79.5% (44)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (41)
39.5% (81)
+6.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lundeström is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lundeström shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gourde
Home
47.4% (266)
50.1% (491)
Away
47.6% (336)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lundeström
Gourde
P1
54.5%
54.7%
P2
44.4%
45.0%
P3
44.6%
49.4%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
47.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:42 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 12:39 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |