Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wallmark wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wallmark 44.7% vs Gourde 48.9% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 61.8%
Defensive zone
Gourde 66.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 68.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Wallmark
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wallmark
Gourde
Last 5: Wallmark 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
2
1
Wallmark
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
0
Wallmark
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Wallmark
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wallmark
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (142)
49.0% (557)
-8.2%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
65.9% (44)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
29.2% (48)
+6.5%
On even strength, Gourde has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Wallmark is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Wallmark shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Wallmark
Gourde
Home
45.8% (48)
49.0% (314)
Away
39.5% (114)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Wallmark
Gourde
P1
35.8%
54.0%
P2
43.9%
44.6%
P3
44.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
40.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Jan 13, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |